It’s time for the annual bull and bear debate again. Reviewing past black swans, the data reveals some key patterns:
1. Historical Insights: Panic is Decreasing, Structure is Strengthening
Event 312: Dropped 65%, after consolidating for 4 days, it opened up a more than 10x increase.
519 Event: Dropped 56%, after consolidating for 64 days achieved a 140% increase.
Event 1011: Down 19.6%, the decline has significantly narrowed.
There are two core conclusions: First, new highs can be reached after extreme market conditions; second, market depth and resilience are increasing, as evidenced by reduc
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